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Independent student audit copy. This revised Student Edition is still under instructor and learner review. The questions are formative only; formal grades and private answer keys are not available here.
Captain · CP03: Risk Survival · About 25–30 minutes
Safety rule: A risk limit is binding even when the rejected opportunity later looks profitable.
Your mission today
By the end you can produce and test a signed risk charter covering position sizing, incident response and restart requirements.
Before you start
Bring your one-strategy Captain card, Second Officer cash ledger and demo account. Use only imaginary figures in the examples.
1. Understand the survival problem
A risk charter is the student’s written operating agreement with themselves. It is not an earnings guarantee or legal certification. It states how much risk is permitted, which rules cannot be waived, how overlapping positions are counted, and what happens after a rejected stop, duplicate order, connection failure or margin warning.
The risk charter is an operational document covering per-trade cash risk, overlapping positions, max planned daily exposure, forbidden stop widening, stop-out, connectivity failures, broker issues and how to resume after a mistake. It must survive a stressful test, not just look sensible on paper.
Verification is a process, not a badge. Document the precise source, date and legal entity, and explain what the source does not establish.
2. Worked example: loss before gain
Imagine an account with an approved $10 per-trade cash-risk cap. A duplicate demo order unintentionally creates two positions each with $10 planned stop loss, or $20 combined exposure before costs. Even though each ticket alone complied, the combined total may breach the charter. The trainee must halt new entries, confirm actual positions, use authorised correction controls and record the incident.
The original teaching case also asks you to consider: The assessor creates a mock duplicate order while the original risk is still open. The student immediately halts submissions, verifies both tickets, corrects exposure using authorised demo controls, alerts the instructor if required and records both errors in an append-only review.
Open the diagram for full-size detail on a mobile screen. All illustrated prices are synthetic unless explicitly sourced as historical market data.
Original Black Box Journey risk diagram. Imaginary numbers; not guaranteed execution.
BLACK BOX JOURNEY · LESSON VISUAL WORKSHOP
See the concept, the decision and the mistake
4 original teaching figures for lesson CP03.5. Read each panel in order and compare the chart, calculation or decision with the explanation above. Tap Expand for a full-size review. Diagrams and prices are classroom illustrations, not live market records or validated trading signals.
Loading 4 teaching visuals…
3. Apply a fixed procedure
Set measurable per-trade, portfolio, day and week boundaries.
List no-entry triggers and forbidden stop or volume changes.
Define emergency actions for missing stops, wrong accounts and outages.
Simulate ten incidents using demo records and retained screenshots.
Correct failed drills and sign the charter only after a new pass.
A failure of one mandatory condition ends this candidate. Never change the calculation merely because the result is a larger order than the original budget permits.
4. Rehearse the adverse path
A beautiful policy document is worthless if it cannot be followed under stress. If a student cannot show server-confirmed protection or tries to conceal a duplicate order, the drill fails even if the remaining position wins. Recovery must be auditable, not improvised.
Unsafe response: An impressive performance curve cannot compensate for one critical uncontrolled-risk practice breach. The class must reward correct rejection and safe response, even when the account ends the week flat.
5. Demonstrate the skill independently
The original flight exercise is: Draft, sign and rehearse a full risk charter against ten emergency events. Record failed drills and successful remediation.
Make the journal record include the source specification, decision time, planned downside, stress case and actual simulated response. In an emergency, stop new trading before correcting exposure.
6. Practise the emergency response before you need it
Synthetic Captain risk charter: Equity is $3,000. The ordinary trade-risk cap is $15, and the daily loss ceiling is $45. A ticket with a 20-pip stop and an invented $1 per pip would risk −$20 before costs, so it must be rejected or resized. Now imagine the trading terminal disconnects immediately after you click. The platform shows no clear confirmation. Do not submit the same order again blindly: it may already be live.
Your emergency plan should identify the broker's independent position-check channel, available support contact, account identification process and exact action if an unprotected position is confirmed. Record the time, quoted prices, order reference and steps attempted. Emergency contacts and procedures must be verified for your specific provider before any live account use.
Charter drill: Write one page stating trade risk cap, combined exposure limit, daily/weekly stop rules, news-event restrictions, outage response and who may approve a restart. Test three imaginary incidents: a rejected stop, a disconnected platform and a gap through a stop level. No rule may assume a perfect fill.
Common mistake
Treating an imaginary risk budget as proof that the market cannot cause a worse loss. A stop is a broker instruction with execution limitations. State the difference between planned risk and realised outcomes.
Critical error: Failure of a mandatory protection rule.
Remediation: Targeted practice after a failed skill.
Independent review: Second person checking evidence against the rule.
Try it yourself
Draft, sign and rehearse a full risk charter against ten emergency events. Record failed drills and successful remediation. Add one adverse execution scenario and one rejected attractive setup. Keep the original version of the rules in your journal.
PRACTISE · TEST YOUR UNDERSTANDING
Quick check
Select an answer or type your own for each question. Press Submit practice to review the five responses. This is a formative beta exercise, not a graded assessment.
0 / 5 answered
Answer all 5 questions to submit.
What you can now do
Produce and test a signed risk charter covering position sizing, incident response and restart requirements.
Recalculate an adverse scenario without hiding costs.
Explain why the correct outcome may be to stop trading.
Next lesson
CP04.1 · FOMO, Revenge and Other Predictable Traps.
Student clarity check
Could you explain the idea in your own words, reproduce the calculation and complete the exercise without seeing an instructor's answer? Does the diagram actually show the concept? Please record exact lesson codes and specific points of confusion for the independent Claude audit.